Estoril vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
VST
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 4
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
UFT
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UFT
2 - 0
ATL
56%
22%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 1
UFT
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 0
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BOA
0 - 1
UFT
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |