Estoril vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
EST
5 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BMA
3 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
EST
1 - 2
OLH
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 2
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
EST
3 - 2
SCF
66%
20%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 1
BMA
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
OLH
1 - 0
TRO
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
1 - 0
PEN
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SCF
0 - 2
TRO
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 1
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |