Estoril vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
17º
8º
53
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 79 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 13% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 5
SCP
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |