Estoril vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
EST
3 - 5
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
SCP
0 - 1
BAN
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BOA
2 - 0
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |