Estoril vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 7
EST
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
VST
5 - 3
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCP
8%
12%
80%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
8 - 2
SAL
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
OLH
2 - 4
SCP
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
SLB
4 - 1
SCP
58%
18%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |