Estoril vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.9%
13.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1950 |
EST
0 - 1
OLH
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
EST
2 - 5
VST
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
EST
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LUS
4 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
76%
14%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
VIT
2 - 2
SPC
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 0
OEL
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ACA
4 - 6
SPC
67%
16%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |