Estoril vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
EST
2 - 0
VST
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BOA
4 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 2
SPB
71%
16%
14%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SPB
1 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPB
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |