Estoril vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 2
EST
25%
20%
55%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
EST
1 - 0
FCP
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
VST
5 - 5
EST
31%
22%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
EST
0 - 4
SCP
33%
20%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
OLH
2 - 2
EST
42%
21%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 0
LUS
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPB
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SPB
5 - 1
OEL
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ACA
3 - 1
SPB
51%
21%
28%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
21%
19%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |