Estoril vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.7%
9.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
25%
20%
56%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
EST
2 - 2
OEL
82%
10%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
EST
2 - 2
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
SCP
5 - 3
EST
87%
8%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
EST
3 - 1
ATL
76%
13%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 0
SCP
15%
16%
69%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
4 - 3
SPB
65%
17%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
72%
15%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |