Estoril vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
EST
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAÇ
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 3
BRA
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 3
VSC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |