Estoril vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
OLH
4 - 2
EST
68%
16%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 1
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
EST
6 - 3
SLB
16%
18%
65%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SAN
2 - 4
SLB
5%
11%
85%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
BOA
6 - 1
SAN
73%
15%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
SAN
1 - 4
VST
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
SLE
8 - 0
SAN
81%
11%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |