Estoril vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GON
0 - 1
EST
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
UNM
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 2
EST
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 1
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
RIO
5%
13%
83%
|
79 | 24 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 2
VIT
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
BOA
61%
25%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
62%
25%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
RIO
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +2 |