Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Estoril vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
15%
28%
57%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
4 - 0
EST
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 3
SLB
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 1
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 2
VAR
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 0
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |