Estoril vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 2
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 3
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FEI
0 - 0
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
SCF
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIZ
2 - 2
POR
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
BMA
0 - 0
POR
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |