Estoril vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
EST
5 - 0
ATL
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 1
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 4
EST
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 4
PAÇ
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VST
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VST
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |