Estoril vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
VST
3 - 2
EST
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
5 - 0
SPC
76%
13%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
EST
10 - 0
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
EST
4 - 3
OEL
78%
12%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
BEL
14%
19%
67%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ACA
5 - 0
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |