Estoril vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TON
2 - 3
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FCP
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 3
TON
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FCP
3 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
FEI
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
VST
1 - 1
MOR
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
AVE
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |