Estoril vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
SCP
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 2
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
FEI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
FAT
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |