Estoril vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
26%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
EST
0 - 1
UDL
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
EST
3 - 1
BMA
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
EST
2 - 0
RIO
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
MAR
5 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIT
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |