Estoril vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
EST
1 - 4
SPB
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 1
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
19%
27%
54%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOA
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |