Estoril vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
FEI
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COV
0 - 4
EST
24%
28%
49%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
LEX
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
EST
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 0
POR
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAF
1 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAF
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAF
2 - 0
VSC
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAF
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAF
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -2 |