Estoril vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
EST
4 - 1
FCP
54%
19%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VST
3 - 3
EST
26%
21%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
EST
7 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
EST
5 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SCP
12 - 0
LUS
95%
4%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
ATL
36%
23%
41%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 2
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
44%
22%
34%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |