Estoril vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SLB
6 - 1
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 0
SPB
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
SCP
0 - 0
LEX
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
LEX
0 - 0
ATL
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 0
LEX
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 0
CDM
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |