Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Estoril vs Hapoel Ramat Gan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
SCP
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
GFC
1 - 3
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
BMA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
SPB
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Hapoel Ramat Gan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
IKS
1 - 1
HAP
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HAP
1 - 2
ASH
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HIA
2 - 1
HAP
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BSA
1 - 0
HAP
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
HAP
1 - 2
HAP
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |