Estoril vs Ginásio de Alcobaça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
AMO
0 - 0
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
EST
0 - 0
RIO
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1982 |
FCP
6 - 0
EST
84%
12%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
EST
2 - 1
MAR
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
GDA
0 - 1
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
VST
3 - 0
GDA
67%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
GDA
1 - 1
BOA
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
GDA
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
GDA
0 - 1
SPB
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |