Estoril vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FEI
1 - 0
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
SCF
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
GFC
4 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 3
GFC
24%
26%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GFC
1 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 4
GFC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |