Estoril vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1993 |
UNM
3 - 0
EST
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
EST
0 - 2
SCP
14%
25%
61%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
EST
3 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VST
2 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1993 |
GFC
1 - 1
FCP
23%
29%
48%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
BOA
1 - 2
GFC
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
GFC
2 - 1
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
FAR
4 - 2
GFC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
UNM
1 - 2
GFC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |