Estoril vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 2
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
EST
5 - 2
ARO
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
EST
0 - 1
LEX
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 2
FEI
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
MOR
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 0
FEI
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 0
FEI
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |