Estoril vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 2
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
POR
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
FEI
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 1
FAT
57%
25%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
FEI
24%
28%
49%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |