Estoril vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
FCP
5 - 2
EST
83%
12%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VST
2 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
FEI
2 - 0
VST
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SPB
2 - 1
FEI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEI
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
SLB
7%
16%
76%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
POR
5 - 1
FEI
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |