Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 3
VST
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
EST
3 - 1
SPB
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
76%
14%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
FCP
8 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |