Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CDM
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
EST
0 - 0
BMA
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 2
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
FCP
8 - 2
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
S04
3 - 2
FCP
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |