Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
BOA
6 - 3
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
EST
4 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
EST
5 - 3
ACA
64%
18%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SCP
8 - 1
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
EST
2 - 3
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
39%
21%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 2
FCB
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 4
FCP
21%
19%
59%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |