Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 3
EST
19%
19%
63%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
EST
5 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
EST
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
EST
2 - 0
BEL
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 7
EST
35%
21%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
36%
20%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCP
14%
17%
69%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
14%
17%
69%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |