Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
47.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ACA
2 - 2
EST
50%
20%
31%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
EST
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
33%
21%
45%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
88%
7%
5%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 8
FCP
16%
17%
67%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 2
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |