Estoril vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 1
EST
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
LEX
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UNM
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCM
1 - 0
AVE
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 0
FCM
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
VST
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
FCM
68%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 1
FCM
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |