Estoril vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1953 |
EST
0 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
VIT
3 - 2
EST
55%
20%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
EST
3 - 2
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
EST
2 - 5
FCB
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
EST
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPB
1 - 0
FAR
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
FAR
0 - 1
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |