Estoril vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
17º
8º
24
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 79 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
ARO
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 0
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 0
ARO
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 3
FAM
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAM
5%
14%
81%
|
81 | 25 | 56 | 0 |