Estoril vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
SAN
1 - 3
EST
19%
19%
62%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
EST
6 - 1
OLH
57%
18%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
VIT
1 - 2
EST
44%
21%
36%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
EST
3 - 1
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
90%
6%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
BOA
5 - 0
FAM
56%
20%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 1
VST
48%
20%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLE
2 - 1
FAM
67%
16%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |