Estoril vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MAR
3 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
ESP
2 - 1
BMA
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ACV
2 - 1
ESP
55%
20%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
69%
21%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |