Estoril vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 2
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
VST
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 3
EST
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
EST
5 - 3
OVA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LEX
0 - 3
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 2
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VST
1 - 3
AVE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
FCM
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 0
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |