Estoril vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 3
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 3
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
FCP
15%
24%
61%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIT
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
VIT
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |