Estoril vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SCF
0 - 2
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 1
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BMA
3 - 1
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 1
FEI
24%
28%
49%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
OLI
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
FAT
32%
28%
41%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |