Estoril vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
VIT
3 - 0
EST
50%
21%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
EST
2 - 2
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 2
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
EST
0 - 1
LGC
61%
19%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
BOA
1 - 2
ATL
48%
23%
30%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
LGC
5 - 1
BOA
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BOA
0 - 0
FCB
51%
21%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FCP
4 - 2
BOA
77%
13%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
BOA
1 - 2
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |