Estoril vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ACA
4 - 0
EST
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
66%
18%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
EST
1 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
EST
2 - 0
SAL
83%
10%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
BOA
3 - 0
SCP
19%
19%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
BOA
4 - 2
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 1
BOA
44%
21%
35%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
BOA
1 - 0
SPB
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |