Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 8-2
Estoril vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.2%
11.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 5
EST
47%
20%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
EST
2 - 0
FCP
38%
23%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPB
3 - 2
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 2
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
EST
5 - 1
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 5
EST
47%
20%
33%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
33%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SCP
7 - 0
BOA
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
OLH
1 - 0
BOA
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |