Estoril vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
65.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
37%
22%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
1 - 0
EST
78%
12%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
40%
20%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
ATL
3 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
SLB
3 - 0
BEL
75%
13%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1946 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 6
SLB
6%
12%
83%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |