Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 2
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
FEI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 2
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 2
VAR
64%
21%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 3
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
BEL
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |