Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
SCP
4 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
FEI
1 - 1
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
BEL
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
BEL
2 - 0
POR
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |