Estoril vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VST
0 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 1
BEL
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
CDM
1 - 0
BEL
29%
30%
42%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |